CFTC Gets First Win in Legal Battle Against States Challenging Prediction Markets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) received an early win in its battle with certain states that are challenging federal oversight of prediction marketplaces.

A group of different states are pursuing prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket arguing they should be regulated under state gaming rules.

The CFTC, worried about a national mishmash of rules that will crush innovation in its infancy, recently announced it would sue these states.

In a post on X today, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig announced it had its regulatory power affirmed in the state of New Jersey.

 

Designated Contract Markets or  DCMS represent CFTC regulated swaps with economic consequences. In this case it is the events markets where individuals bet on potential outcomes with a financial aspect. The ruling in New Jersey is the first federal appellate win on the preemption issue.

While one battle victory does not mean the war is over, the win buttresses the CFTC’s legal argument as it challenges other states like Arizona, Illinois and others that do not like the federal government’s decision to include prediction markets in their oversight portfolio.

 



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Reg A - Form 1-A Filings Beta

Beta. Initial Form 1-A only. Target raise is the stated Amount to be Raised, totaled. Compared with the same dates one year earlier.

YTD: Jan 1, 2026 - Oct 28, 2026 vs Jan 1, 2025 - Oct 28, 2025

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Number of Filings132Prior 127 +3.9%
Target Raise, Total$3.44BPrior $3.54B -2.9%
This YTDYear priorChange
Filings 132 127 +3.9%
Target raise $3.44B $3.54B -2.9%

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