Tagged: prediction markets

Bernstein Updates Robinhood Markets Share Price Target to $160, Citing Strong Growth Potential in Prediction Markets Over Traditional Crypto

Financial analysts continue to express growing confidence in Robinhood Markets‘ (NASDAQ: HOOD) strategic evolution, with Bernstein recently elevating its outlook on the fintech company’s shares. The firm hiked its 12-month price target for HOOD to $160 from $130 while maintaining an Outperform recommendation. This move… Read More

Washington State Judge Issues Preliminary Injunction Against Kalshi’s Sports Prediction Markets, Emphasizing Local Gambling Oversight

A Washington court has temporarily blocked Kalshi from offering sports-related contracts to users in the state. The decision, handed down on July 21, 2026, by King County Superior Court Judge John McHale, concludes that the platform’s sports event products likely constitute unlicensed gambling under Washington… Read More

French Regulators Ordered Internet Providers to Restrict Polymarket Access Before World Cup Final

French gambling authorities took decisive action in order to cut off access to a major international prediction trading platform. On July 16, the president of the Autorité Nationale des Jeux (ANJ) instructed domestic internet service providers to block the site entirely, citing its promotion of… Read More

CFTC Orders Fulfilment of Pending Trades on Kalshi Following a Michigan State Court Order

The Citizens Jury Wheel Legal Court Trial Justice Judge Law

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) negated a Michigan court order that canceled trades on Kalshi. According to a statement by the CFTC, it exercised its authority to order Kalshi to fulfill open trades. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said a state cannot force a Designated… Read More

Gondor Rolls Out V1 Margin Account with Cross-Margin Borrowing for Polymarket Portfolios

Gondor has officially launched its V1 platform, delivering the first dedicated margin account designed specifically for Polymarket users. This update introduces cross-margin functionality, allowing traders to borrow against their complete collection of positions rather than handling them individually. The update now aims to bring prime… Read More

CFTC Urged To Clarify Rules For Fintech Access To Sports Prediction Markets

ProphetX, America’s first sports-native prediction market, has asked the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to clarify how registration requirements should apply to technology companies that give customers access to federally regulated sports event contracts. The company made the request in a comment letter responding… Read More

Polymarket Pursues Regulatory Approval for Leveraged Trading in US Prediction Markets

Predictions markets platform Polymarket has taken formal steps to introduce margin trading under US regulatory oversight. This development could enable participants to engage in event-based contracts with reduced upfront capital requirements, potentially drawing in a broader range of institutional and experienced traders seeking more flexible… Read More

Federal Court Rejects Kalshi’s Request to Block New York Gambling Rules Enforcement

A federal judge in Manhattan has denied prediction market operator Kalshi’s effort to stop New York from enforcing its gambling laws against the platform’s sports-related offerings. The July 7, 2026 ruling by US District Judge Analisa Torres clears the way for state regulators to proceed… Read More

Meta to Launch its Own Prediction Market Arena After Talks with Kalshi

Meta (NASDAQ:META) was in talks with Kalshi about a potential acquisition prior to its decision to launch its own prediction market. According to reports, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg met with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour in 2025. While the details remain unclear, the discussion fell apart… Read More

Blockchain Analytics Platform Arkham Rolls Out Elo Ratings for Prediction Market Traders

Blockchain analytics platform Arkham has introduced a new Elo-style rating system designed to measure the forecasting skill of traders on prediction markets, particularly those active on Polymarket. Launched on June 29, 2026, the feature aims to spotlight consistent performers by focusing on prediction accuracy rather… Read More

Cboe Global Rolls Out Cboe Predicts, Launching First Products in New Prediction Markets Suite

Cboe Global Markets (Cboe: CBOE) has introduced the initial products in its new prediction markets platform, Cboe Predicts. The debut offerings consist of binary option contracts tied to the Mini S&P 500 Index (XSP), which began trading under the symbols XSPBW and XSPBX.These contracts give… Read More

Coalition for Prediction Markets Files Amicus Brief Supporting CFTC Oversight in Battle with the States

The Coalition for Prediction Markets, a group that represents Kalshi, crypto.com, and several other platforms, has submitted an Amicus Brief in support of the lawsuit (KalshiEX LLC v. Schuler et al.) targeting Kalshi and its preference for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to hold regulatory… Read More

Kalshi Reportedly Explores Early IPO Path as Annualized Revenue Tops $2 Billion

Prediction market platform Kalshi has entered informal discussions with investment banks about a potential initial public offering, according to a new report. The conversations remain preliminary, with any listing likely still more than a year away. The development comes alongside strong evidence of accelerating business… Read More

Kalshi Partners with StarCompliance to Introduce Compliance Tools for Prediction Markets 

StarCompliance has teamed up with Kalshi to roll out what is described as the industry’s comprehensive, enterprise-level compliance platform tailored specifically for global prediction markets. Announced on June 17, 2026, the collaboration aims to help financial institutions better manage emerging risks associated with employee involvement… Read More

Stop Lawmakers from Predicting Act Introduced in Congress by Representative Steil

Legislation aiming to halt any members of Congress or their immediate family from participating in prediction markets was introduced in the House of Representatives today. Representative Bryan Steil submitted the Stop Lawmakers from Predicting Act. There is already significant public criticism of legislators who trade… Read More

CFTC Files Lawsuit Against New Mexico to Defend Federal Oversight of Prediction Markets 

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has initiated a federal lawsuit against New Mexico, aiming to reinforce its exclusive regulatory power over prediction markets, including those involving sports-related event contracts. This move highlights ongoing tensions between federal derivatives oversight and state-level gambling regulations. Filed… Read More

Ex- SEC Chair Gensler Challenges CFTC Claim to Regulate Sports Wagering Contracts, Tells Appeals Court Dodd-Frank Does Not Cover Sports Bets

Former US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler has taken a strong stance against expansive federal authority in the realm of sports betting. In an amicus curiae brief submitted to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, Gensler argues that the… Read More

Kalshi Political Index, American Power Index, Revealed

Prediction market Kalshi has created an “American Power Index” that is designed to be an Index like the S&P 500 for the political ecosystem. Kalshi allows betting on events on just about anything. The political index is an interesting extrapolation of the platform’s services that… Read More

Prediction Markets : Polymarket Pushes for Trader Identity Verification Due to Regulatory and Sanctions Pressures

Polymarket is now more focused on requiring users to verify their identities. This move comes as the platform deals with increased risks that are said to be related to international sanctions, ineffective geographic restrictions, and broader legal uncertainties. Once known for its pseudonymous trading model… Read More

Indonesian Authorities Tighten Digital Oversight by Restricting Access to Prediction Markets Platform Polymarket 

Indonesia’s Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs has restricted public access to Polymarket, a US-based platform that operates as a prediction market using blockchain technology and cryptocurrency. The decision, announced on May 22, 2026, underscores the government’s firm stance against any form of speculative betting… Read More

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