Tagged: prediction markets

June 15, 2026 @ 6:41 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Former US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler has taken a strong stance against expansive federal authority in the realm of sports betting. In an amicus curiae brief submitted to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, Gensler argues that the… Read More

June 1, 2026 @ 4:20 pm By JD Alois  |  

Prediction market Kalshi has created an “American Power Index” that is designed to be an Index like the S&P 500 for the political ecosystem. Kalshi allows betting on events on just about anything. The political index is an interesting extrapolation of the platform’s services that… Read More

May 28, 2026 @ 1:05 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Polymarket is now more focused on requiring users to verify their identities. This move comes as the platform deals with increased risks that are said to be related to international sanctions, ineffective geographic restrictions, and broader legal uncertainties. Once known for its pseudonymous trading model… Read More

May 28, 2026 @ 12:46 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Indonesia’s Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs has restricted public access to Polymarket, a US-based platform that operates as a prediction market using blockchain technology and cryptocurrency. The decision, announced on May 22, 2026, underscores the government’s firm stance against any form of speculative betting… Read More

May 27, 2026 @ 11:38 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Spanish authorities have recently announced that they’ve taken regulatory action against US-based prediction market platforms, temporarily restricting access within the country. The decision underscores ongoing global debates about how to properly classify and oversee platforms that allow users to wager on the outcomes of real-world… Read More

May 26, 2026 @ 5:53 pm By JD Alois  |  

President Donald Trump has posted on Truth Social that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) must maintain federal authority over prediction markets. In recent months, multiple states have challenged federal authority over platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, arguing that federal oversight encroaches on state jurisdiction. The CFTC has gone so… Read More

May 25, 2026 @ 5:26 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Dune Analytics has introduced a unified dataset that brings together data from Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a valuable new resource for macro, equity, and quantitative researchers. The platform now delivers clean, easily queryable information that includes hourly candlestick prices, detailed per-fill trades, position-level insights, and… Read More

May 20, 2026 @ 8:12 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Polymarket has unveiled prediction markets focused on private company performance and key milestones. This initiative marks the first time individuals can directly engage with outcomes tied to some of the most prominent unlisted firms, while also delivering fresh, real-time insights for professional investors. The platform,… Read More

May 12, 2026 @ 2:01 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Blockchain analytics firm Chainalysis has released new findings showing that crypto-based prediction markets have undergone steady expansion in recent months. Weekly capital inflows into these platforms have climbed sharply since September 2024, fueled largely by the U.S. presidential election cycle and continuing momentum into November…. Read More

May 8, 2026 @ 11:50 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction markets are experiencing steady growth, and Kalshi, a U.S.-based platform for event contracts, has become the latest emblem of this momentum. The company recently closed a $1 billion Series F funding round led by Coatue Management, with participation from heavyweights including Sequoia Capital, Andreessen… Read More

May 6, 2026 @ 9:46 am By JD Alois  |  

Incubated by Blockchain.com, SnapMarkets prediction market has announced its launch. According to Blockchain.com, SnapMarkets will transform the “traditionally slow prediction markets with lightning speed.” The platform promises moves in seconds, not minutes. SnapMarkets claims to be the fastest prediction market in operation. SnapMarkets aims to… Read More

May 5, 2026 @ 9:00 am By JD Alois  |  

Prediction market platform Kalshi has partnered with Mesh to enable crypto payouts and deposits, according to a company statement. Mesh is expected to enable Kalshi to connect with over 300 wallets and exchanges, including Coinbase, Binance, MetaMask, and others. The partnership is being described as… Read More

April 27, 2026 @ 10:09 am By Omar Faridi  |  

A recent working paper from scholars at the London Business School and Yale University offers fresh insight into how modern prediction markets really work. By poring over years of transaction records from Polymarket—the so-called “decentralized” platform for betting on real-world events—the researchers discovered that roughly… Read More

April 26, 2026 @ 10:20 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has launched a federal lawsuit against the State of New York. Filed on April 24, 2026, in the US District Court for the Southern District of New York, the action aims to prevent state officials from imposing gambling restrictions… Read More

April 25, 2026 @ 4:37 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Brazilian authorities have blocked access to leading prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket. The move forms part of a larger enforcement effort targeting unlicensed betting-style services, with officials emphasizing the need to shield everyday investors from unregulated risks. Finance Minister Dario Durigan announced the… Read More

April 24, 2026 @ 9:05 am By JD Alois  |  

This week, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the US Department of Justice charged an active duty military member with insider trading in regard to the arrest of Nicolas Maduro, the former dictator of Venezuela. The allegations were that Gannon Ken Van Dyke, the… Read More

April 24, 2026 @ 8:06 am By Omar Faridi  |  

A concerning case is highlighting the emerging risks that are now seemingly at the c0mplex intersection of US national security and online wagering. US federal prosecutors have charged a U.S. Army soldier with misusing highly sensitive government data to generate substantial profits through prediction markets…. Read More

April 23, 2026 @ 8:33 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction market platform Kalshi has taken decisive steps to combat potential insider trading, imposing fines and suspensions on three congressional candidates who placed bets on the outcomes of their own election campaigns. The actions, announced on April 22, 2026, underscore the company’s commitment to tightening… Read More

April 22, 2026 @ 2:48 pm By JD Alois  |  

New York Attorney General Letitia James has sued both Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) and  Gemini (NASDAQ:GEMI), alleging the operation of illegal gambling platforms. The NY AG noted that both platforms enable prediction markets that allow users to bet on events such as sports and elections. The announcement said that… Read More

April 20, 2026 @ 4:47 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Dune Analytics has indicated that Polymarket has transformed prediction markets by introducing ultra-short-duration contracts that prioritize speed and automation. According to a detailed on-chain study by Dune Analytics, these “fast markets”—launched in September 2025—have rapidly shifted from a niche experiment to a major driver of… Read More