Bitcoin and Crypto Market Movements Align with Pre-Halving Rally, A Trend Observed in Previous BTC Cycles – Analysis

With Bitcoin (BTC), the flagship cryptocurrency, finally surging past the $52,000 mark at the time of writing, a pre-halving rally reminiscent of previous cycles seems to be unfolding. This is according to an update shared by the analysts at Bitfinex.

To shed light on this significant development, Bitfinex analysts have shared insights from Jag Kooner, Head of Derivatives at the crypto exchange.

Kooner noted:

“The current market movement aligns with a pre-halving rally, a trend observed in previous Bitcoin cycles. Historically, this rally commences approximately eight weeks prior to the halving event and has the potential to push prices beyond previous cycle highs. Notably, the past week marked Bitcoin’s re-emergence as a trillion-dollar asset, largely driven by ETF inflows.”

Jag Kooner added that the diminishing selling pressure “from GBTC and consistent inflows into other ETFs, averaging $300-400 million daily according to recent data, have been significant contributors.”

Jag Kooner pointed out that it is “important to note, however, that BTC today is already closer to its previous all-time high (ATH) before the pre-halving rally in comparison to previous cycles, partly due to ETF-related enthusiasm. While historical patterns may provide insights, it’s crucial to understand that they do not always guarantee repetition.”

Jag Kooner further noted that the overall crypto market cap reached $2 trillion.

He added that there has been “a gradual flow of capital towards the alt coin market which is common once BTC records significant highs in the middle of a bull market. Due to the large number of crypto projects this cycle, however, there has been a flow of capital into specific sectors like the Solana ecosystem and AI based projects rather than a gradual spreading of capital into all alt coin markets.”

Jag Kooner also mentioned:

“Additionally, the Decentralized Exchange market has experienced a considerable increase in trading volume, surpassing levels seen in prior cycles. This shift indicates a more selective and sector-focused investment strategy within the broader altcoin market.”



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