Tagged: economic activity

German Economy Reportedly Expected to Recover for First Time in 2026 but Remains in the European Midfield

Following the ongoing recession, the latest European Economic Outlook from KPMG signals a moderate recovery for the German economy in 2026, with real gross domestic product (GDP) expected to grow by 1.1% – the first noticeable upturn in four years. This year, it is likely… Read More

Geopolitical Tensions Cloud UK Inflation Outlook, Warns KPMG UK

In a statement addressing the latest inflation figures, Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG UK, highlighted the growing uncertainty surrounding the UK’s inflation trajectory, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The recent surge in energy prices, with oil prices climbing over 13%… Read More

Citi Report Examines Transformation of Asset Servicing and Asia’s Economic Outlook

In today’s financial landscape, Citigroup’s insights shed light on two critical areas shaping global markets: the transformation of asset servicing and the economic dynamics of Asia’s export-driven economies. These reports offer a look into the forces driving post-trade operations and the potential risks facing Asia’s… Read More

UK Industry Professional Says Bank of England will Opt for Interest Rate Cut Next Month, Two Further Cuts in 2025

Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG UK noted that the rise in pay growth expected to be short lived as labour market “faces headwinds.” Yael Selfin from KPMG UK added that while unemployment rose to 4.4%, it remained “fairly low in the three months to November.”… Read More

IMF Highlights Strategies for a United Europe and Enhancing Public Debt Transparency to Build Investor Confidence

The global economy stands at a crossroads, with mounting challenges like trade tensions, policy uncertainty, and rising public debt reshaping the financial landscape. Key updates from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) highlight critical strategies for navigating these turbulent times: fostering a united Europe to bolster… Read More

NatWest UK Regional Growth Tracker: Confidence Returns to Business as More Regions Report Increased Activity

NatWest Regional Growth Tracker showed renewed increases in business activity across several parts of the UK, alongside a general revival of firms’ growth expectations for the coming year. The Tracker – which surveyed businesses operating in the manufacturing and services sectors across 12 regions of… Read More

Citi Institute Provides Insights on Navigating U.S. Trade Policy

In a rapidly evolving global economic landscape, understanding U.S. trade policy and its implications is critical for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The Citi Institute’s recent update, part of its Invest USA series, offers a deep dive into the current U.S. tariff regime, ongoing trade negotiations,… Read More

UK GDP Growth Could Reportedly Reach 1.2% in 2025 as Trade Agreements Lower Uncertainty

The UK economic outlook could brighten over the next two years as the economy stands to benefit from easing trade tensions and lower uncertainty arising from potential trade agreements with some of its key trading partners according to KPMG’s European Economic Outlook. A temporary pick… Read More

Sweden’s Riksbank Comments on High Political Uncertainty Risks, Impact of US Tariffs

Sweden’s central bank, Sveriges Riksbank, highlighted growing concerns over global financial stability driven by sharp shifts in U.S. trade and security policies. These abrupt changes have triggered significant market volatility and heightened uncertainty, posing risks to both Swedish and global financial systems. Coupled with this,… Read More

Consumer Confidence in UK Economy Declines – Research Report

Three in five people say that the UK economy is worsening, leading even consumers feeling financially secure to cut back on spending, according to the latest quarterly Consumer Pulse survey from KPMG in the UK. The number of people feeling that the UK economy is… Read More

Irish Economy had More Momentum than Anticipated, Consumer Spending Expected to Rise – Bank of Ireland Report

Bank of Ireland’s latest economic forecasts for Ireland have been revised upwards. The bank has revised upwards projections “for GDP (4.3%), modified domestic demand (4%) and employment (2.2%) growth in 2025.” This reflects stronger than expected data for H2 2024, showing the Irish economy had… Read More

UK Real Estate and Financial Services Sectors Report Growth But Others Experience Decline – Report

The number of UK sectors reporting falling output rose to 11 in December 2024, up from eight in November, and the highest number since September 2023, according to data from the latest Lloyds UK Sector Tracker. The number of sectors with growing demand was “one… Read More

UK Industry Professional Says GDP Growth May Be Impacted By Challenging Financial Conditions, Rising Inflation

Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG UK noted that the UK economy emerges from downturn while “risks of further headwinds rise.” Yael Selfin from KPMG also mentioned the UK GDP returned to growth after two consecutive months of decline, with “growth potentially accelerating in 2025.” They… Read More

AI May Widen Inequality in Asia But Policymakers Could Counteract with Regulations to Promote Ethical Use of Tech – Report

The IMF has shared an update / analysis on how artificial intelligence will affect Asia’s economies. According to the blog post from the IMF, AI may widen inequality, but policymakers can “counteract this with more effective social safety nets, reskilling programs, and regulations to promote… Read More

UK Economy May Rebound Modestly in 2025 but Geopolitical Issues Loom Large – Report

As the UK looks ahead to more growth in 2025, the year may potentially bring renewed challenges from a relatively higher pace of inflation, increased trade frictions, and a “heightened state of economic uncertainty.” This, according to an update from KPMG. The ultimate impact will… Read More

UK, China May Achieve Solid Economic Growth in 2025 But US Protectionist Measures Could Impact Progress – Analysis

Standard Chartered (LON: STAN) expects global economic growth, led by nations such as the UK, China, and the US, to be broadly flat in 2025, slowing slightly to 3.1% from 3.2% in 2024. This, following the recent US elections. Standard Chartered noted in its detailed… Read More

UK Industry Professional Shares Insights on Disappointing GDP Growth, Slow Economic Activity

KPMG UK has commented on the recently released UK GDP data. Yael Selfin, Chief Economist at KPMG UK, noted: “GDP growth stalls amid growing uncertainty. GDP growth remained disappointing, showing no progress for five consecutive months, due to weaker activity across a broad swathe of the… Read More

Asia’s Financial Services focused Labor Productivity, Digital Technology Adoption Leading to Economic Shift – Report

Asia’s economies can embrace services in order to boost growth and productivity, according to an update from the International Monetary Fund (IMF). The latest report from the IMF noted that manufacturing has been the engine of growth in Asia, but a transition to “modern, tradable… Read More

Retail Recovery in Australia Stalls As Consumer Confidence Remain Low – Research Report

The latest KPMG Australia Retail Health Index (RHI) indicates the road to recovery for Australia’s embattled retail sector has stalled, with positive health not forecast until September 2025. Between the December quarter 2023 and the March quarter 2024 the KPMG RHI had “a rise of… Read More

UK Economy Sectors Including Real Estate Grew Steadily in May – Report

More parts of the UK economy grew in May than at any time in the last 15 months, according to the latest Lloyds Bank UK Sector Tracker. While the overall rate of output growth across the economy “slowed marginally in May (53.0 vs. 54.1 in… Read More

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