Tagged: kalshi

Prediction Markets : Polymarket and Kalshi Showed the Blue Wave Early, Then Missed Key Upsets

Prediction markets faced their defining test during the 2026 midterm elections, correctly forecasting Democratic majorities in both chambers of Congress after roughly $1.3 billion in trading activity. Platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket indicated a Democratic “blue wave” well before major television networks projected the… Read More

As Polls Close, Kalshi Predicts a Democrat Blowout, Republican Demise

Kalshi is anticipating a Democrat blowout just as polls close on the East Coast, and tallies start coming in. In recent days, the expectation is that Democrats will experience a “blue wave” as a barometer of dissatisfaction with President Donald Trump and his administration. Currently,… Read More

Kalshi Valuation Climbs to $40 Billion After $1 Billion Series G Led by Wellington and Sequoia

Kalshi, the New York-based platform that lets users trade contracts on real-world events, has closed a $1 billion Series G round that values the company at $40 billion. The financing, announced on October 29, 2026, was co-led by Wellington Management and Sequoia Capital, with participation… Read More

CFTC Files Federal Suit Against Utah to Defend Exclusive Authority Over Prediction Markets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) escalated its defense of federal oversight of prediction markets on October 27, 2026, by filing a lawsuit against the State of Utah and Attorney General Derek Brown. The action was brought in the U.S. District Court for the District… Read More

Phantom Begins Gradual US Rollout of Kalshi Prediction Markets After CFTC Relief

Phantom has started offering US users access to prediction markets through its first domestic integration with the CFTC-registered exchange Kalshi. In a statement published on October 23, 2026, the company’s general counsel, Kevin Jacobs, announced that the feature is beginning a phased rollout, with broader… Read More

Utah Attorney General Targets Kalshi in Lawsuit Over Alleged Illegal Gambling Profits

Utah Attorney General Derek Brown filed a civil lawsuit on October 20, 2026, against prediction-market operator Kalshi and affiliated entities, seeking to halt their activities in the state and recover estimated tens of millions in profits tied to Utah users. The action, lodged as a… Read More

Most US Consumers Reject Election and Government Bets on Prediction Markets

A recent nationwide survey reveals that a clear majority of US adults oppose the use of prediction markets for wagering on elections and other government-related events, even as these platforms expand rapidly and draw regulatory scrutiny. The research findings, from a Reuters/Ipsos poll, highlight bipartisan… Read More

Congressman Don Davis Files Bill to Prevent Federal Candidates from Trading Prediction Markets Contracts Linked to Their Elections

US Representative Don Davis of North Carolina has introduced legislation intended to stop people seeking federal office from buying, selling, or holding prediction market contracts that resolve based on their own campaigns. The measure, titled the No Betting on Your Own Race Act, was filed… Read More

Prediction Markets : Polymarket Beat Traditional Polls in the Brazilian Election

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro finished ahead of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the opening round of Brazil’s 2026 presidential election, an ordering that several late national polls had not projected and that the prediction market Polymarket had priced for weeks. The split between survey… Read More

Prediction Markets Platform Kalshi Loses Sixth Circuit Fight Over Ohio and Tennessee Gambling Rules

A federal appellate panel has cleared the way for Ohio and Tennessee to apply their sports-wagering statutes to Kalshi, a prediction markets operator that lists contracts tied to sporting outcomes. On September 25, 2026, a three-judge panel of the US Court of Appeals for the… Read More

Kalshi Rejects Wash Trading Allegations as Ether Perp Volume-to-OI Ratio Hits 174x

Kalshi, the CFTC-regulated prediction-market platform, is facing public accusations that its crypto perpetual-futures activity is inflated. The claims originated with Beni, a former quant and co-founder of Stealth Neolab, who published a detailed thread on X after a heated exchange with Kalshi’s crypto product lead…. Read More

Kalshi Files with SEC and CFTC to List US Single-Stock Perpetual Futures

KalshiEX has asked US regulators for permission to list perpetual futures tied to individual American stocks, placing the prediction-markets firm in the same race as Coinbase to bring a crypto-style derivative into traditional equities. On September 18, 2026, KalshiEX filed a proposed rule change with… Read More

BMLL Brings Kalshi Prediction Markets Into Institutional Research Workflows

BMLL Technologies has struck a partnership with Kalshi that brings the prediction-market venue’s historical order-book records onto BMLL’s institutional data platform. Announced on 17 September 2026 from London and New York, the deal folds Kalshi’s CFTC-regulated event-contract history into the same high-fidelity, multi-asset coverage that… Read More

Kalshi Opens CFTC-Approved Gold and Silver Perpetual Futures

Kalshi has begun offering perpetual futures tied to gold and silver after the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) cleared the listings, marking the prediction-market operator’s first move of this product type beyond digital assets. Trading in the new contracts opened Thursday on the company’s platform,… Read More

Coinbase Selects ION’s XTP to Clear Kalshi Prediction Markets

ION, a provider of trading technology and workflow software for financial institutions, has announced that Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) has chosen its XTP for Event Contracts platform to handle clearing for Kalshi’s prediction market products. The announcement, dated September 9, 2026, frames the deal as infrastructure… Read More

Michigan Circuit Court Injunction Requires Kalshi to Keep Blocking Sports Markets

A Michigan circuit court has extended restrictions that keep Kalshi from offering sports-related prediction contracts to people in the state, converting an earlier short-term freeze into a preliminary injunction that remains in place while the underlying lawsuit proceeds. Ingham County Circuit Judge Rosemarie E. Aquilina… Read More

Kalshi Secures New Deal as Official Prediction Market Partner of the US Open

Kalshi has locked in an unexpected last-minute arrangement that places the federally regulated prediction market platform in an exclusive official role at the 2026 US Open. The agreement with the United States Tennis Association took effect as the main draw opened at Flushing Meadows, even… Read More

Ninth Circuit Rules Kalshi Sports Contracts Are Bets, Not Swaps, Letting Nevada Enforce Gaming Laws

A federal appeals panel has given Nevada a significant win in its clash with prediction market operator Kalshi, holding that sports-event contracts listed on the company’s exchange are not “swaps” under federal commodities law and therefore are not shielded from state gaming rules. On August… Read More

Connecticut Files Lawsuit Against Kalshi, Seeking Ban on Unlicensed Sports Event Contracts

Connecticut officials have taken prediction-market operator Kalshi to state court, asking a judge to halt what they describe as unlicensed sports betting offered through the company’s event contracts. Attorney General William Tong, Consumer Protection Commissioner Bryan T. Cafferelli, and Governor Ned Lamont announced the action… Read More

Kalshi Suspends Sports Mention Markets Amid CFTC Review of Manipulation Risks

Kalshi, one of the largest US prediction markets platforms, has reportedly removed its sports-related “mention markets” following the launch of a review by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) into this category of contracts. The agency is examining whether these markets are particularly vulnerable to… Read More

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