Tagged: polymarket

US Federal Judge Blocks Minnesota Prediction Market Ban in Significant Win for Polymarket and Kalshi

A federal judge has issued a preliminary injunction that blocks Minnesota from enforcing its newly enacted prohibition on prediction markets, delivering a major win to platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi just days before the measure was set to take effect.U.S. District Judge Katherine Menendez of… Read More

Gondor Rolls Out V1 Margin Account with Cross-Margin Borrowing for Polymarket Portfolios

Gondor has officially launched its V1 platform, delivering the first dedicated margin account designed specifically for Polymarket users. This update introduces cross-margin functionality, allowing traders to borrow against their complete collection of positions rather than handling them individually. The update now aims to bring prime… Read More

Polymarket Pursues Regulatory Approval for Leveraged Trading in US Prediction Markets

Predictions markets platform Polymarket has taken formal steps to introduce margin trading under US regulatory oversight. This development could enable participants to engage in event-based contracts with reduced upfront capital requirements, potentially drawing in a broader range of institutional and experienced traders seeking more flexible… Read More

Prediction Markets: Little Change in Expectation for USA vs. Belgium Match After Florian Balogun Reinstatement

The Red Card given to Team USA striker Florian Balogun has been debated ad-nauseam online and on social media. On one side, the Red Card is deemed to be a bad call and a suspension of Balogun undeserved. On theFlorian BalogunFlorian Balogun other, the Red… Read More

Prediction Markets : Polymarket Pushes for Trader Identity Verification Due to Regulatory and Sanctions Pressures

Polymarket is now more focused on requiring users to verify their identities. This move comes as the platform deals with increased risks that are said to be related to international sanctions, ineffective geographic restrictions, and broader legal uncertainties. Once known for its pseudonymous trading model… Read More

Indonesian Authorities Tighten Digital Oversight by Restricting Access to Prediction Markets Platform Polymarket 

Indonesia’s Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs has restricted public access to Polymarket, a US-based platform that operates as a prediction market using blockchain technology and cryptocurrency. The decision, announced on May 22, 2026, underscores the government’s firm stance against any form of speculative betting… Read More

Spain Imposes Temporary Block on Prediction Market Platforms Polymarket and Kalshi Over Licensing Concerns

Spanish authorities have recently announced that they’ve taken regulatory action against US-based prediction market platforms, temporarily restricting access within the country. The decision underscores ongoing global debates about how to properly classify and oversee platforms that allow users to wager on the outcomes of real-world… Read More

Dune Analytics Unifies Prediction Markets Data from Polymarket and Kalshi

Dune Analytics has introduced a unified dataset that brings together data from Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a valuable new resource for macro, equity, and quantitative researchers. The platform now delivers clean, easily queryable information that includes hourly candlestick prices, detailed per-fill trades, position-level insights, and… Read More

Polymarket Introduces Prediction Markets for Private Firms, Leveraging Nasdaq Private Market Data

Polymarket has unveiled prediction markets focused on private company performance and key milestones. This initiative marks the first time individuals can directly engage with outcomes tied to some of the most prominent unlisted firms, while also delivering fresh, real-time insights for professional investors. The platform,… Read More

Elite Traders Dominate Polymarket : Research Reveals 3% of Accounts Steer Most Price Discovery

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A recent working paper from scholars at the London Business School and Yale University offers fresh insight into how modern prediction markets really work. By poring over years of transaction records from Polymarket—the so-called “decentralized” platform for betting on real-world events—the researchers discovered that roughly… Read More

Brazilian Authorities Block Prediction Markets Kalshi and Polymarket to Ensure Investor Protection

Brazilian authorities have blocked access to leading prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket. The move forms part of a larger enforcement effort targeting unlicensed betting-style services, with officials emphasizing the need to shield everyday investors from unregulated risks. Finance Minister Dario Durigan announced the… Read More

Polymarket Updates Prediction Markets with Short-Duration Contracts Prioritizing Automation : Analysis

Dune Analytics has indicated that Polymarket has transformed prediction markets by introducing ultra-short-duration contracts that prioritize speed and automation. According to a detailed on-chain study by Dune Analytics, these “fast markets”—launched in September 2025—have rapidly shifted from a niche experiment to a major driver of… Read More

CFTC Sues States Gunning for Prediction Markets: Will Continue to Safeguard Exclusive Regulatory Authority

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is poised to do battle with several states that have challenged prediction market platforms. The CFTIC filed suit today, challenging the legal actions of Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois against CFTC-registered designated contract markets. The CFTC stated: “Congress long ago… Read More

Prediction Markets Hit Record $21 Billion Monthly Volume : Analysis

TRM Labs has indicated that prediction markets—platforms allowing traders to buy and sell contracts tied to the outcomes of real-world events like elections, geopolitical conflicts, economic shifts, sports results, and pop culture happenings—have evolved from niche forecasting tools into a major financial phenomenon. Once limited… Read More

NYSE Parent ICE Invests $600 Million in Polymarket, Indicating Sharp Focus on Prediction Markets

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the firm behind the New York Stock Exchange and a global enabler of financial market infrastructure, has signaled strong conviction in the future of prediction markets with a major new capital commitment. The company has now injected $600 million in direct cash… Read More

Polymarket to Impose Taker Fees on Nearly All Trading Categories

Decentralized prediction markets platform Polymarket has unveiled a major policy shift: starting March 30, it will impose taker fees on nearly all trading categories for the first time. The new structure introduces variable rates that peak at 1.8 percent for crypto-related contracts, with effective fees… Read More

Kalshi, Polymarket Executives Announce Investments in Prediction Markets Venture Capital Fund

In a somewhat surprising twist amid fierce industry competition, the leaders of two top prediction market platforms have pooled resources to back a specialized venture capital fund. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan are key investors in 5c(c) Capital, a new firm… Read More

Michael B. Jordan Holds Significant Lead on Polymarket, Kalshi for Best Actor Oscar

Michael B. Jordan currently holds a solid lead regarding the Oscar for Best Actor on the two top prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi. As it stands right now, Jordan is at 58% on Kalshi ($17 million+ in volume) and 59% on Polymarket ($11 million+). Eating… Read More

Kalshi, Polymarket Reportedly Eye New Funding Rounds at $20B Valuations

Kalshi and Polymarket, which are now the two leading prediction market platforms, are independently exploring fresh capital raises that could push their valuations close to $20 billion each, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report. The discussions, still said to be in their earliest… Read More

Polymarket: Only 36% Chance Authoritarian Iranian Regime Collapses by End of June

The bombs have only just begun to fly in the conflict between the US/Israel and the authoritarian regime controlling Iran. Launched late Saturday, the military action was revealed via social media by President Trump. Soon it was revealed that many members of the Iranian regime’s… Read More

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