Tagged: polymarket

April 10, 2025 @ 12:39 pm By JD Alois  |  

Not too long ago, CI reported that event betting platform Polymarket indicated a chance of recession at 65%. Yesterday, President Trump reversed his aggressive tariff posture announcing a 90 day pause on previously announced penalties. Markets rocketed higher following the news. For a moment, all… Read More

April 9, 2025 @ 10:09 am By JD Alois  |  

Global markets have been in upheaval since President Trump’s Liberation Day, which slapped tariffs on just about all trading partners. Volatility has been spurred by market rumors as the message from the White House has been mixed. At times, it appears that the Trump White… Read More

April 3, 2025 @ 4:43 pm By JD Alois  |  

Polymarket has a listing on its platform where you can bet on a recession in the US. Currently, there is a 48% chance a recession will be forthcoming in 2025. According to the rules of the market, a “yes” is confirmed if the National Bureau of Economic… Read More

February 22, 2025 @ 5:56 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction markets, led by Polymarket, are becoming known for their ability to cut through “bias, misinformation, and noise”—offering real-time, skin-in-the-game predictions that are more “reliable, wide-ranging, and decentralized.” As prediction markets grow in popularity, we need oracles that are more adept at “verifying natural language… Read More

November 14, 2024 @ 4:35 pm By JD Alois  |  

Polymarket, a prediction marketplace that got the outcome of the Presidential election right, is garnering the scrutiny of the Feds due to its accuracy. According to multiple reports, the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) raided Polymarket founder and CEO’s apartment, taking Shayne Coplan’s mobile phone… Read More

November 4, 2024 @ 4:22 pm By JD Alois  |  

The election tomorrow for the US President will be close. That is viewed as a given. As many people on both sides of the fence view the election as “the most important election in our lifetime” the electorate will be watching the outcome closely. So… Read More