Tagged: prediction markets

August 9, 2026 @ 1:06 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a formal reminder to regulated prediction market platforms, instructing them against presenting event contract prices in the manner of traditional American-style moneyline gambling odds. This guidance comes as the agency continues to defend its oversight of these… Read More

August 9, 2026 @ 9:18 am By Omar Faridi  |  

TS Imagine has added market-implied probabilities from prediction markets to its institutional risk and portfolio management platform. The new capability  lets clients treat the expected outcomes of major economic, political, regulatory and geopolitical events as live, continuously updating inputs within their existing analytics. Prediction market… Read More

August 6, 2026 @ 1:13 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Tribal gaming regulators and members of Congress are pressing for specific language in the pending CLARITY Act to prevent prediction markets from offering sports and casino-style contracts outside existing state and tribal oversight. The call came during a Senate Committee on Indian Affairs roundtable held… Read More

August 2, 2026 @ 9:32 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Former US Representative George Santos has agreed to pay more than $35,000 to resolve allegations by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) that he engaged in manipulative trading on the prediction market platform Kalshi. The case centered on event contracts concerning whether he would attend… Read More

July 31, 2026 @ 6:33 am By Omar Faridi  |  

New York regulatory authorities have taken legal action against the prediction markets operator Kalshi, accusing it of running an unlicensed gambling business within the state. On July 31, 2026, Governor Kathy Hochul and Attorney General Letitia James announced that the state filed a petition against… Read More

July 30, 2026 @ 4:25 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Binance.US is taking steps to broaden its product lineup in the United States by pursuing regulatory approval for a prediction markets offering. At the Rare Evo conference in Las Vegas, the exchange’s chief executive, Stephen Gregory (also known as Stevie Satoshi), stated that the firm… Read More

July 29, 2026 @ 5:32 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

A bipartisan alliance of attorneys general from 44 states has formally challenged the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) efforts to oversee sports-linked prediction markets, asserting that the agency possesses no legal power to do so. In a detailed comment letter submitted as the public feedback… Read More

July 28, 2026 @ 8:43 am By Omar Faridi  |  

The National Football League (NFL) has formally urged the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to significantly tighten its proposed framework governing sports-related event contracts, arguing that the current draft falls well short of safeguards needed to protect game integrity and market participants. In a letter dated… Read More

July 28, 2026 @ 7:51 am By Omar Faridi  |  

A federal judge has issued a preliminary injunction that blocks Minnesota from enforcing its newly enacted prohibition on prediction markets, delivering a major win to platforms including Polymarket and Kalshi just days before the measure was set to take effect.U.S. District Judge Katherine Menendez of… Read More

July 26, 2026 @ 5:13 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Robinhood Markets (NASDAQ: HOOD) is reportedly exploring a potential collaboration with Crypto.com to incorporate the latter’s event-based contracts into its growing suite of prediction market offerings. According to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing people familiar with the discussions, the brokerage is in talks… Read More

July 21, 2026 @ 5:19 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Financial analysts continue to express growing confidence in Robinhood Markets‘ (NASDAQ: HOOD) strategic evolution, with Bernstein recently elevating its outlook on the fintech company’s shares. The firm hiked its 12-month price target for HOOD to $160 from $130 while maintaining an Outperform recommendation. This move… Read More

July 21, 2026 @ 5:08 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

A Washington court has temporarily blocked Kalshi from offering sports-related contracts to users in the state. The decision, handed down on July 21, 2026, by King County Superior Court Judge John McHale, concludes that the platform’s sports event products likely constitute unlicensed gambling under Washington… Read More

July 21, 2026 @ 8:38 am By Omar Faridi  |  

French gambling authorities took decisive action in order to cut off access to a major international prediction trading platform. On July 16, the president of the Autorité Nationale des Jeux (ANJ) instructed domestic internet service providers to block the site entirely, citing its promotion of… Read More

July 14, 2026 @ 9:45 pm By JD Alois  |  

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) negated a Michigan court order that canceled trades on Kalshi. According to a statement by the CFTC, it exercised its authority to order Kalshi to fulfill open trades. CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said a state cannot force a Designated… Read More

July 14, 2026 @ 5:47 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Gondor has officially launched its V1 platform, delivering the first dedicated margin account designed specifically for Polymarket users. This update introduces cross-margin functionality, allowing traders to borrow against their complete collection of positions rather than handling them individually. The update now aims to bring prime… Read More

July 12, 2026 @ 11:55 am By Michael Wong  |  

ProphetX, America’s first sports-native prediction market, has asked the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to clarify how registration requirements should apply to technology companies that give customers access to federally regulated sports event contracts. The company made the request in a comment letter responding… Read More

July 11, 2026 @ 9:08 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Large US financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), are updating their internal policies to restrict staff from engaging in certain types of bets on rapidly growing prediction platforms. These changes aim to mitigate potential conflicts of interest and guard against the… Read More

July 10, 2026 @ 12:32 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Predictions markets platform Polymarket has taken formal steps to introduce margin trading under US regulatory oversight. This development could enable participants to engage in event-based contracts with reduced upfront capital requirements, potentially drawing in a broader range of institutional and experienced traders seeking more flexible… Read More

July 8, 2026 @ 3:31 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

A federal judge in Manhattan has denied prediction market operator Kalshi’s effort to stop New York from enforcing its gambling laws against the platform’s sports-related offerings. The July 7, 2026 ruling by US District Judge Analisa Torres clears the way for state regulators to proceed… Read More

July 1, 2026 @ 1:49 pm By JD Alois  |  

Meta (NASDAQ:META) was in talks with Kalshi about a potential acquisition prior to its decision to launch its own prediction market. According to reports, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg met with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour in 2025. While the details remain unclear, the discussion fell apart… Read More