Tagged: prediction markets

July 12, 2026 @ 11:55 am By Michael Wong  |  

ProphetX, America’s first sports-native prediction market, has asked the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to clarify how registration requirements should apply to technology companies that give customers access to federally regulated sports event contracts. The company made the request in a comment letter responding… Read More

July 11, 2026 @ 9:08 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Large US financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), are updating their internal policies to restrict staff from engaging in certain types of bets on rapidly growing prediction platforms. These changes aim to mitigate potential conflicts of interest and guard against the… Read More

July 10, 2026 @ 12:32 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Predictions markets platform Polymarket has taken formal steps to introduce margin trading under US regulatory oversight. This development could enable participants to engage in event-based contracts with reduced upfront capital requirements, potentially drawing in a broader range of institutional and experienced traders seeking more flexible… Read More

July 8, 2026 @ 3:31 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

A federal judge in Manhattan has denied prediction market operator Kalshi’s effort to stop New York from enforcing its gambling laws against the platform’s sports-related offerings. The July 7, 2026 ruling by US District Judge Analisa Torres clears the way for state regulators to proceed… Read More

July 1, 2026 @ 1:49 pm By JD Alois  |  

Meta (NASDAQ:META) was in talks with Kalshi about a potential acquisition prior to its decision to launch its own prediction market. According to reports, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg met with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour in 2025. While the details remain unclear, the discussion fell apart… Read More

June 30, 2026 @ 1:05 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Blockchain analytics platform Arkham has introduced a new Elo-style rating system designed to measure the forecasting skill of traders on prediction markets, particularly those active on Polymarket. Launched on June 29, 2026, the feature aims to spotlight consistent performers by focusing on prediction accuracy rather… Read More

June 26, 2026 @ 7:41 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Cboe Global Markets (Cboe: CBOE) has introduced the initial products in its new prediction markets platform, Cboe Predicts. The debut offerings consist of binary option contracts tied to the Mini S&P 500 Index (XSP), which began trading under the symbols XSPBW and XSPBX.These contracts give… Read More

June 25, 2026 @ 3:14 pm By JD Alois  |  

The Coalition for Prediction Markets, a group that represents Kalshi, crypto.com, and several other platforms, has submitted an Amicus Brief in support of the lawsuit (KalshiEX LLC v. Schuler et al.) targeting Kalshi and its preference for the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to hold regulatory… Read More

June 21, 2026 @ 6:38 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction market platform Kalshi has entered informal discussions with investment banks about a potential initial public offering, according to a new report. The conversations remain preliminary, with any listing likely still more than a year away. The development comes alongside strong evidence of accelerating business… Read More

June 18, 2026 @ 7:00 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

StarCompliance has teamed up with Kalshi to roll out what is described as the industry’s comprehensive, enterprise-level compliance platform tailored specifically for global prediction markets. Announced on June 17, 2026, the collaboration aims to help financial institutions better manage emerging risks associated with employee involvement… Read More

June 18, 2026 @ 5:48 pm By JD Alois  |  

Legislation aiming to halt any members of Congress or their immediate family from participating in prediction markets was introduced in the House of Representatives today. Representative Bryan Steil submitted the Stop Lawmakers from Predicting Act. There is already significant public criticism of legislators who trade… Read More

June 18, 2026 @ 8:44 am By Omar Faridi  |  

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has initiated a federal lawsuit against New Mexico, aiming to reinforce its exclusive regulatory power over prediction markets, including those involving sports-related event contracts. This move highlights ongoing tensions between federal derivatives oversight and state-level gambling regulations. Filed… Read More

June 15, 2026 @ 6:41 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Former US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chairman Gary Gensler has taken a strong stance against expansive federal authority in the realm of sports betting. In an amicus curiae brief submitted to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Sixth Circuit, Gensler argues that the… Read More

June 1, 2026 @ 4:20 pm By JD Alois  |  

Prediction market Kalshi has created an “American Power Index” that is designed to be an Index like the S&P 500 for the political ecosystem. Kalshi allows betting on events on just about anything. The political index is an interesting extrapolation of the platform’s services that… Read More

May 28, 2026 @ 1:05 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Polymarket is now more focused on requiring users to verify their identities. This move comes as the platform deals with increased risks that are said to be related to international sanctions, ineffective geographic restrictions, and broader legal uncertainties. Once known for its pseudonymous trading model… Read More

May 28, 2026 @ 12:46 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Indonesia’s Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs has restricted public access to Polymarket, a US-based platform that operates as a prediction market using blockchain technology and cryptocurrency. The decision, announced on May 22, 2026, underscores the government’s firm stance against any form of speculative betting… Read More

May 27, 2026 @ 11:38 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Spanish authorities have recently announced that they’ve taken regulatory action against US-based prediction market platforms, temporarily restricting access within the country. The decision underscores ongoing global debates about how to properly classify and oversee platforms that allow users to wager on the outcomes of real-world… Read More

May 26, 2026 @ 5:53 pm By JD Alois  |  

President Donald Trump has posted on Truth Social that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) must maintain federal authority over prediction markets. In recent months, multiple states have challenged federal authority over platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, arguing that federal oversight encroaches on state jurisdiction. The CFTC has gone so… Read More

May 25, 2026 @ 5:26 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Dune Analytics has introduced a unified dataset that brings together data from Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a valuable new resource for macro, equity, and quantitative researchers. The platform now delivers clean, easily queryable information that includes hourly candlestick prices, detailed per-fill trades, position-level insights, and… Read More

May 20, 2026 @ 8:12 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Polymarket has unveiled prediction markets focused on private company performance and key milestones. This initiative marks the first time individuals can directly engage with outcomes tied to some of the most prominent unlisted firms, while also delivering fresh, real-time insights for professional investors. The platform,… Read More