Tagged: prediction markets

April 2, 2026 @ 7:09 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Venture capital firm Paradigm is poised to expand its footprint in the rapidly expanding prediction markets sector by developing a dedicated trading terminal tailored for sophisticated participants. According to sources cited by Fortune, the firm—already a significant backer of leading platforms in the space—is crafting… Read More

April 2, 2026 @ 5:03 pm By JD Alois  |  

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is poised to do battle with several states that have challenged prediction market platforms. The CFTIC filed suit today, challenging the legal actions of Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois against CFTC-registered designated contract markets. The CFTC stated: “Congress long ago… Read More

April 1, 2026 @ 3:20 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction marketplace Kalshi says it has achieved a key licensing victory that brings leveraged trading on event contracts one step closer to reality. The development positions the company to appeal more strongly to professional traders and institutional investors seeking greater capital efficiency in speculative markets…. Read More

March 31, 2026 @ 5:56 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Binance is set to introduce a new prediction market capability directly within its cryptocurrency wallet application, leveraging the decentralized platform Predict.Fun to expand user engagement with event-based trading. This upcoming feature will enable participants to speculate on the likely results of various real-world and digital… Read More

March 31, 2026 @ 6:34 am By Omar Faridi  |  

The National Football League (NFL) is pressing prediction market platforms to halt certain high-risk event contracts, prompting the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to signal it will largely follow the leagues’ lead on what constitutes acceptable trading. In letters sent to CFTC-registered operators this week, the… Read More

March 30, 2026 @ 4:14 pm By JD Alois  |  

A group of Democratic politicians has joined to demand that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) stop federal employees from engaging in “insider trading” on prediction markets. Led by Senators Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Jeff Merkley, and Representatives Maxine Waters and Angie Craig, the group… Read More

March 29, 2026 @ 1:06 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

California Governor Gavin Newsom has taken decisive action to safeguard public integrity by issuing an executive order that explicitly forbids state appointees from exploiting confidential information for financial gain on prediction market platforms. Signed on March 27, 2026, the directive immediately reinforces longstanding ethics standards… Read More

March 29, 2026 @ 10:07 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the firm behind the New York Stock Exchange and a global enabler of financial market infrastructure, has signaled strong conviction in the future of prediction markets with a major new capital commitment. The company has now injected $600 million in direct cash… Read More

March 25, 2026 @ 1:19 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Decentralized prediction markets platform Polymarket has unveiled a major policy shift: starting March 30, it will impose taker fees on nearly all trading categories for the first time. The new structure introduces variable rates that peak at 1.8 percent for crypto-related contracts, with effective fees… Read More

March 25, 2026 @ 8:37 am By Omar Faridi  |  

In a somewhat surprising twist amid fierce industry competition, the leaders of two top prediction market platforms have pooled resources to back a specialized venture capital fund. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan are key investors in 5c(c) Capital, a new firm… Read More

March 22, 2026 @ 3:26 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

The state of Nevada has achieved a significant legal victory in its efforts to regulate online prediction markets, securing a temporary restraining order against Kalshi. News outlets such as Wired, along with commentary from gambling focused legal expert Daniel Wallach, have highlighted this recent court… Read More

March 20, 2026 @ 7:27 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction market platform Kalshi Inc. has completed a substantial new financing round, pulling in more than $1 billion and elevating its overall company worth to $22 billion. This development, shared by individuals close to the transaction, represents a striking leap forward for the innovative fintech… Read More

March 17, 2026 @ 3:36 pm By JD Alois  |  

Arizona Attorney General Kris Mayes has filed charges against prediction marketplace Kalshi. The battle between the new form of betting and state oversight has been simmering for some time. According to a release issued by the AG, the state alleges that Kalshi accepted bets from… Read More

March 15, 2026 @ 6:57 pm By JD Alois  |  

Michael B. Jordan currently holds a solid lead regarding the Oscar for Best Actor on the two top prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi. As it stands right now, Jordan is at 58% on Kalshi ($17 million+ in volume) and 59% on Polymarket ($11 million+). Eating… Read More

March 14, 2026 @ 6:56 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Kalshi and Polymarket, which are now the two leading prediction market platforms, are independently exploring fresh capital raises that could push their valuations close to $20 billion each, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report. The discussions, still said to be in their earliest… Read More

March 3, 2026 @ 2:44 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

DriveWealth, a provider of brokerage infrastructure, has revealed a strategic alliance with Kalshi, a key player focused on regulated prediction trading. This collaboration, unveiled on February 26, 2026, seeks to incorporate Kalshi’s specialized contracts tied to real-world occurrences into DriveWealth’s application programming interface (API)-driven trading… Read More

March 2, 2026 @ 5:41 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction markets, platforms where users wager on real-world outcomes ranging from elections to geopolitical events, have surged in popularity as tools for forecasting and risk assessment. These markets aggregate collective wisdom through financial incentives, often outperforming traditional polls by incentivizing accurate predictions. However, recent developments… Read More

March 2, 2026 @ 8:45 am By Omar Faridi  |  

In a surge of activity, decentralized prediction platform Polymarket has reportedly surpassed previous benchmarks in international trading, with stakes on potential U.S. military involvement with Iran climbing past $529 million. This contract, centered on the possibility of airstrikes or other interventions against a major Middle… Read More

March 1, 2026 @ 2:55 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

In yet another striking development within the ecosystem of decentralized prediction markets, blockchain analysis company Bubblemaps has uncovered a cluster of six cryptocurrency wallets that amassed a combined net profit of $1 million on Polymarket. These gains stemmed from wagers predicting that the United States… Read More

February 25, 2026 @ 3:26 pm By JD Alois  |  

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s (CFTC) Division of Enforcement has issued a statement on two cases regarding prediction markets and the misuse of nonpublic information. According to the CFTC, the alleged transgressions occurred on KalshiEX and include the following. In May 2025, social media posts… Read More