Home buyers today need to make more than $106,000 to comfortably afford a home, a new Zillow (NASDAQ: Z and ZG) real estate market analysis finds.
That is reportedly 80% more than in January 2020, showing how the math has changed in the real estate / property market sector for potential buyers, who are more “often partnering with friends and family or ‘house hacking’ their way to homeownership.”
In 2020, a household earning $59,000 annually “could comfortably afford the monthly mortgage on a typical U.S. home, spending no more than 30% of its income with a 10% down payment.”
That was below the U.S. median income of “about $66,000, meaning more than half of American households had the financial means to afford homeownership.”
Now, the roughly $106,500 needed “to comfortably afford a typical home is well above what a typical U.S. household earns each year, estimated at about $81,000.”
Orphe Divounguy, a senior economist at Zillow, said:
“Housing costs have soared over the past four years as drastic hikes in home prices, mortgage rates and rent growth far outpaced wage gains. Buyers are getting creative to make a purchase pencil out, and long-distance movers are targeting less expensive and less competitive metros. Mortgage rates easing down has helped some, but the key to improving affordability long term is to build more homes.”
A monthly mortgage payment on “a typical U.S. home has nearly doubled since January 2020, up 96.4% to $2,188 (assuming a 10% down payment).”
Home values have risen 42.4% in that time, “with the typical U.S. home now worth about $343,000.”
Mortgage rates ended January 2020 near 3.5%, “keeping the cost of a home affordable for most households that could manage the down payment. At the time of this analysis, mortgage rates were about 6.6%.”
For a household making the median income, it would “take almost 8.5 years before they would have enough saved to put 10% down on a typical U.S. home, about a year longer than it would have in 2020.2 It’s no wonder, then, that half of first-time buyers say at least part of their down payment came from a gift or loan from family or friends.”
With the cost of a mortgage rising, most millennial and Gen Z buyers say “house hacking” — the ability to rent out “all or part of a home for extra cash — is very or extremely important. Co-buying with a friend or relative is another way to help with affordability, something 21% of last year’s buyers reported doing.”
Metro areas where a buyer “could comfortably afford a typical home with the lowest income are Pittsburgh ($58,232 income needed to afford a home), Memphis ($69,976), Cleveland ($70,810), New Orleans ($74,048) and Birmingham ($74,338). The only major metros where a typical home is affordable to a household making the median income are Pittsburgh, St. Louis and Detroit.”
There are seven markets “among the major metros where a household’s income must be $200,000 or more to comfortably afford a typical home. The top four are in California: San Jose ($454,296), San Francisco ($339,864), Los Angeles ($279,250) and San Diego ($273,613). Seattle ($213,984), the New York City metro area ($213,615) and Boston ($205,253) complete the list.”
To help find a home within budget, home shoppers on Zillow can “filter search results by monthly cost instead of by list price. The tool simplifies the complex calculation of translating a home’s list price into the monthly cost, factoring in the latest mortgage rates.”
Those needing a down payment boost “may qualify for down payment assistance. Home listings on Zillow include a down payment assistance module to help shoppers see what local resources could be available to them.”
As covered, Zillow Group, Inc. says that it is “reimagining real estate to make home a reality for more and more people. As the most visited real estate website in the United States, Zillow and its affiliates help people find and get the home they want by connecting them with digital solutions, dedicated partners and agents, and easier buying, selling, financing and renting experiences.”