Archives

May 28, 2026 @ 1:05 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Polymarket is now more focused on requiring users to verify their identities. This move comes as the platform deals with increased risks that are said to be related to international sanctions, ineffective geographic restrictions, and broader legal uncertainties. Once known for its pseudonymous trading model… Read More

May 28, 2026 @ 12:46 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Indonesia’s Ministry of Communication and Digital Affairs has restricted public access to Polymarket, a US-based platform that operates as a prediction market using blockchain technology and cryptocurrency. The decision, announced on May 22, 2026, underscores the government’s firm stance against any form of speculative betting… Read More

May 26, 2026 @ 5:53 pm By JD Alois  |  

President Donald Trump has posted on Truth Social that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) must maintain federal authority over prediction markets. In recent months, multiple states have challenged federal authority over platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, arguing that federal oversight encroaches on state jurisdiction. The CFTC has gone so… Read More

May 20, 2026 @ 8:12 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Polymarket has unveiled prediction markets focused on private company performance and key milestones. This initiative marks the first time individuals can directly engage with outcomes tied to some of the most prominent unlisted firms, while also delivering fresh, real-time insights for professional investors. The platform,… Read More

April 27, 2026 @ 10:09 am By Omar Faridi  |  

A recent working paper from scholars at the London Business School and Yale University offers fresh insight into how modern prediction markets really work. By poring over years of transaction records from Polymarket—the so-called “decentralized” platform for betting on real-world events—the researchers discovered that roughly… Read More

April 25, 2026 @ 4:37 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Brazilian authorities have blocked access to leading prediction market platforms, including Kalshi and Polymarket. The move forms part of a larger enforcement effort targeting unlicensed betting-style services, with officials emphasizing the need to shield everyday investors from unregulated risks. Finance Minister Dario Durigan announced the… Read More

April 24, 2026 @ 9:05 am By JD Alois  |  

This week, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the US Department of Justice charged an active duty military member with insider trading in regard to the arrest of Nicolas Maduro, the former dictator of Venezuela. The allegations were that Gannon Ken Van Dyke, the… Read More

April 24, 2026 @ 8:06 am By Omar Faridi  |  

A concerning case is highlighting the emerging risks that are now seemingly at the c0mplex intersection of US national security and online wagering. US federal prosecutors have charged a U.S. Army soldier with misusing highly sensitive government data to generate substantial profits through prediction markets…. Read More

April 20, 2026 @ 4:47 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Dune Analytics has indicated that Polymarket has transformed prediction markets by introducing ultra-short-duration contracts that prioritize speed and automation. According to a detailed on-chain study by Dune Analytics, these “fast markets”—launched in September 2025—have rapidly shifted from a niche experiment to a major driver of… Read More

March 29, 2026 @ 10:07 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the firm behind the New York Stock Exchange and a global enabler of financial market infrastructure, has signaled strong conviction in the future of prediction markets with a major new capital commitment. The company has now injected $600 million in direct cash… Read More

March 25, 2026 @ 1:19 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Decentralized prediction markets platform Polymarket has unveiled a major policy shift: starting March 30, it will impose taker fees on nearly all trading categories for the first time. The new structure introduces variable rates that peak at 1.8 percent for crypto-related contracts, with effective fees… Read More

March 25, 2026 @ 8:37 am By Omar Faridi  |  

In a somewhat surprising twist amid fierce industry competition, the leaders of two top prediction market platforms have pooled resources to back a specialized venture capital fund. Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour and Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan are key investors in 5c(c) Capital, a new firm… Read More

March 15, 2026 @ 6:57 pm By JD Alois  |  

Michael B. Jordan currently holds a solid lead regarding the Oscar for Best Actor on the two top prediction markets, Polymarket and Kalshi. As it stands right now, Jordan is at 58% on Kalshi ($17 million+ in volume) and 59% on Polymarket ($11 million+). Eating… Read More

March 14, 2026 @ 6:56 am By Omar Faridi  |  

Kalshi and Polymarket, which are now the two leading prediction market platforms, are independently exploring fresh capital raises that could push their valuations close to $20 billion each, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report. The discussions, still said to be in their earliest… Read More

March 2, 2026 @ 5:41 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

Prediction markets, platforms where users wager on real-world outcomes ranging from elections to geopolitical events, have surged in popularity as tools for forecasting and risk assessment. These markets aggregate collective wisdom through financial incentives, often outperforming traditional polls by incentivizing accurate predictions. However, recent developments… Read More

March 2, 2026 @ 3:50 pm By JD Alois  |  

The bombs have only just begun to fly in the conflict between the US/Israel and the authoritarian regime controlling Iran. Launched late Saturday, the military action was revealed via social media by President Trump. Soon it was revealed that many members of the Iranian regime’s… Read More

March 2, 2026 @ 8:45 am By Omar Faridi  |  

In a surge of activity, decentralized prediction platform Polymarket has reportedly surpassed previous benchmarks in international trading, with stakes on potential U.S. military involvement with Iran climbing past $529 million. This contract, centered on the possibility of airstrikes or other interventions against a major Middle… Read More

March 1, 2026 @ 2:55 pm By Omar Faridi  |  

In yet another striking development within the ecosystem of decentralized prediction markets, blockchain analysis company Bubblemaps has uncovered a cluster of six cryptocurrency wallets that amassed a combined net profit of $1 million on Polymarket. These gains stemmed from wagers predicting that the United States… Read More

February 24, 2026 @ 12:06 pm By JD Alois  |  

The State of the Union will be delivered tonight by President Donald Trump. This is the first time Trump has addressed a joint session of Congress and the entire US. He is expected to provide an update on his Administration’s goals and defend his performance… Read More

February 17, 2026 @ 2:59 pm By JD Alois  |  

A battle line has been drawn between states that want to maintain control over wagering and betting and prediction markets that offer event-driven markets for a wide range of binary outcomes. Earlier today, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig threw down the gauntlet, declaring that the Commission is ready… Read More